DeMar DeRozan free agency rumors: Why Lakers, Heat sign-and-trades are full of complications
There wasn’t a ton of interest in DeMar DeRozan the last time he hit free agency, back in 2021. He ended up wildly outperforming his three-year, $81.9 million deal and expected a pay raise from last year’s $28.6 million salary.
It looks like the league is about to make the same mistake again.
DeRozan is a victim of circumstance this time around. The good teams who could use him don’t have clean avenues to obtain him. The bad teams with cap space don’t need a player who is turning 35 in a month. And the Bulls are pivoting towards a rebuild. DeRozan would ruin their odds at landing Cooper Flagg in next summer’s draft, which are looking pretty decent at the moment.
There is some interest brewing in DeRozan as the clock ticks on. The Lakers are considering him, per ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski. The Heat could be another suitor, according to the Miami Herald’s Barry Jackson.
Here are the most likely scenarios for DeRozan, and why it is extremely difficult for him to find a new home.
MORE: Live grades and analysis of every free agency signing
DeMar DeRozan free agency options
Path 1: Sign a below-market deal with the Lakers (unlikely)
LeBron James has hinted that he would be willing to take less than his maximum contract if it helps bring in the right type of player. Even if he took a big discount, the Lakers would still only have the $13 million mid-level exception to offer DeRozan.
If DeRozan took a one-year deal with the Lakers and tried to get a bigger deal with them next summer, then they would only have his non-bird rights, limiting him to a $15.5 million starting salary in 2025.
It seems unlikely that DeRozan would be willing to take that route.
Path 2: Sign with someone else (unlikely)
There are a few teams with cap space remaining. The Pistons, Magic and Jazz all have over $20 million available to offer DeRozan, per Spotrac’s Keith Smith.
None of those teams makes a ton of sense from a fit perspective. In addition to the Lakers, DeRozan could take the $13 million mid-level exception from a team like the Cavaliers, Rockets or Grizzlies, but it would be a huge pay cut for him. He could also sign for even less somewhere else.
Those options don’t make sense, both from a financial and fit perspective. The most likely path forward is a sign-and-trade, but it gets complicated to pull that move off.
Path 3: Sign-and-trade
A sign-and-trade could offer DeRozan a much bigger annual salary in line with his production. He could go to a contending team that lacks cap space as well, such as the Heat or Lakers.
The problem with a sign-and-trade with a contending team is that it requires them to send out matching salary. The Bulls have no interest in taking on that salary because it would take them into the luxury tax for a bad team. That means that a third team with cap space (Pistons, Magic, Jazz or Spurs) would have to be roped into this process and compensated via draft equity or a young player for their help.
DeRozan is worth at least $25 million annually, and sending that much money out gets complicated very quickly.
Here’s what a potential deal could look like:
This was the simplest possible construction of a realistic DeRozan sign-and-trade, and there are even more complicating factors that would hold this deal up.
First, from Chicago’s perspective, Bulls executive Arturas Karnisovas seems to prioritize young players who are ready to contribute over draft picks. Does Rui Hachimura fit that bill? That is a tough needle to thread.
Second, a DeRozan sign-and-trade would have to be for at least three years. Teams likely won’t want to give him that third year, when he will be 37 and perhaps not worth big money. His game should age well and he’s been a relative iron man, but Father Time is undefeated.
MORE: Why Klay Thompson chose Mavericks over Lakers
Third, the Lakers don’t have a ton of assets to offer a cap space team to help facilitate this type of trade. They have some second-rounders along with first-round picks in 2029 and 2031. Would they be willing to part with those precious assets for DeRozan?
Fourth, if a team like the Heat stepped in, it would get even more complicated. The new apron rules prohibit a team from acquiring a player in a sign-and-trade if it keeps them above the first apron. That would be a concern for Miami and would require it shedding even more salary.
The incentives for all of these parties are hard to line up, which is why DeRozan has been left out of the party. He’s a great player, but the timing isn’t right.
Next summer, there could be around 15 teams with cap space to spend as compared to the six or seven that had room for him at the start of this summer. DeRozan’s best option may be to sign a smaller deal with a contender this year, then try and hit free agency again at the age of 36.